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Five popular forex trading systems built in full, with filter, entry, stop and target, on EURUSD and gold M5 and M15 with the spread. On EURUSD M5 four lost and the London breakout lost in the second half. RSI-2 won 58% of trades and lost 0.72 pips each. Only Bollinger Bands plus RSI on gold M15 passed all three checks.
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How to set up a 9 and 21 EMA pullback in MT4 and MT5, the exact rule, and what it did. On 13,736 gold M5 bars it made +$0.40 an ounce per trade after a $0.30 cost, held one hour, and every fast EMA from 8 to 10 held in both halves. On EURUSD every pair lost.
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The same 20 moving average rules on M5, M15 and H1, EURUSD and gold. Slower charts made the spread cheaper and more rules look profitable, but no M15 or H1 rule was positive after cost, positive in both halves and better than random entries. Two M5 rules held for an hour were.
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20 moving average scalping rules on 16,926 EURUSD and 13,736 gold M5 bars with a real spread. The 5/9, 5/20, 7/14, 8/21, 9/20 and 9/21 EMA crosses lost on EURUSD before cost. On gold a pullback to the 9 EMA in a 9/21 trend made +$0.40 an ounce per trade, positive in both halves.
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How to set MT4’s built-in trailing stop, and which distance held up. Six settings from 5 to 50 pips on two entries over 16,926 EURUSD M5 bars: 11 of 12 lost after a 1-pip spread, and a 2 ATR trail lost 0.3 pips a trade less than a 5-pip one.
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The same entries with an ATR trailing stop or a fixed take profit. On 16,926 EURUSD M5 bars the 1.5 to 2 ATR trail beat every fixed target on all three entry types. On 13,736 gold bars every trail lost and a 1:3 target made $0.99 an ounce per trade in both halves.
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13 exit rules on the same EMA 9/21 and Stochastic entries, 16,926 EURUSD M5 bars, each tested against a random exit with the same holding times. Only ATR trailing stops beat it. The opposite EMA cross lost 2.25 pips a trade after trades had been 5.82 pips up at best.
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How many demo trades you need before the result means anything, measured on real trades of six rules on 16,926 EURUSD M5 bars. Losing rules showed a profit on 25% to 33% of 10-trade demos; a +1 pip system needed about 200 trades to show a profit 93% of the time.
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Does modelling quality matter? On 16,926 EURUSD M5 bars one bar touched both stop and target in 0.5% of 3-pip trades and changed results by at most 0.07 pips. The spread cost 0.8 to 1.4 pips a trade and turned all 8 profitable setups of 30 into losers.
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