Alan Ross – Page 6 – Alan Ross Forex

October 25, 2026 Alan Ross

Fair Value Gaps Tested: 93% Were Filled Within a Day on EURUSD M5, and a Random Level the Same Distance Away Was Filled 92%

Every three-candle FVG on EURUSD and gold, M5 and M15, against a random level at the same distance. Gaps filled 91% to 93% of the time, random levels 92%, and 0 of 16 retest, momentum and fill runs passed.

Learn Forex

October 24, 2026 Alan Ross

ATR Channel Settings for MT4: How to Build EMA Plus or Minus ATR Bands, and a 2 ATR Channel Held 76% of EURUSD M5 Closes, Not 95%

MetaTrader has no built-in ATR channel. How to build one from a Moving Average and ATR, how wide each multiplier is in pips, how much price each keeps inside, and why 2 of 32 pullback settings made money, both on gold M15.

Manual Strategies

October 24, 2026 Alan Ross

ATR Channel Bounce vs Breakout: Both Trades Lost on All 4 Charts Even Before the Spread, and the Breakout Lost Less on 3 of Them

The same 2 ATR band around EMA 20 traded both ways on EURUSD and gold, M5 and M15. Fading the touch and following the close outside lost before cost on all 8 runs, and a middle-line exit only shrank the bounce’s loss.

Indicators

October 24, 2026 Alan Ross

ATR Trend Channel Tested: Price Went Back to the Middle After 74% to 83% of Band Touches, Yet Trading the Bounce Lost on All 4 Charts

EMA 20 plus and minus k x ATR on EURUSD and gold, M5 and M15. Three touches in four ended back at the middle line, but the middle line walked part of the way, stops sat on wicks, and the bounce lost after cost every time.

Learn Forex

October 23, 2026 Alan Ross

Moving Average Swing Settings for MT4: How to Set Up 9/21, 20/50 and 50/200 on H1 and H4, and Only 1 of 26 H4 Settings Reached 20 Trades

How to add swing moving averages in MT4 and MT5, how much history each pair needs, and what 12 settings and a 20 EMA pullback did on EURUSD and gold H1 and H4. EURUSD H1 lost on every judged setting and the first-half leader finished last.

Manual Strategies

October 23, 2026 Alan Ross

Swing vs Scalping Moving Averages: The H1 EMA 50/200 and an M5 EMA 600/2400 Sat on the Same Side 99.8% of Hours, Yet Ended 51 Pips Apart

H1 and H4 moving average pairs against the same pairs 12 and 48 times longer on M5. They agreed on 97.4% to 99.8% of hours and crossed as often, but with 8 trades a few hours of timing turned +44.4 pips into -6.7 on EURUSD.

Manual Strategies

October 23, 2026 Alan Ross

Moving Average Strategy for Swing Trading Tested: On H4 the 50/200 Cross Fired Once in 12 Weeks, and 0 of 19 Testable H1 and H4 Runs Passed

EMA and SMA crosses 9/21, 20/50 and 50/200 plus a 20 EMA pullback on EURUSD and gold H1 and H4, built from M5. 33 of 52 swing runs had under 20 trades, EURUSD H1 lost on all 9 judged lines, and gold H1 never beat random entries.

Learn Forex

October 22, 2026 Alan Ross

Indicator Lag and Whipsaw in MT4: How to Measure Both, and Slower Settings Cut Whipsaw in 14 of 16 Grids While Only 4 of 100 Runs Passed

A fifteen-minute method with the MT4 Data Window and crosshair, then 25 settings of EMA, Supertrend, HalfTrend, Donchian and RSI on four charts: whipsaw, lateness and profit per trade for each, and the four settings that passed.

Indicators

October 22, 2026 Alan Ross

Indicator Lag vs Whipsaw: Across 21 Indicators the Trade-Off Was Only -0.18 to -0.23, Inside One Indicator’s Settings It Held in 14 of 16 Grids

The textbook says fast indicators whipsaw and slow ones lag. Across 21 rules whipsaw and lateness were nearly independent; inside EMA, Donchian, Supertrend and HalfTrend settings the trade-off held step by step, and profit improved with slower settings in only 8 of 16 grids.